प्रधानमन्त्री ओलीको चीन भ्रमण: ‘गेम चेन्जर’ बाट ‘अवसर गुमाउने’ सम्मको यात्रा
कूटनीतिक सफलता कि गुमेको साख? प्रम ओलीको पछिल्लो चीन भ्रमणबारे टिप्पणी
२०७२ सालको महाभूकम्पले तनमन र धन– सम्पूर्ण रुपमा थिलथिलो बनेको नेपाललाई त्यसबेला ‘असल छिमेकी’ र ‘रोटी, बेटी’ सम्बन्धको दुहाइ दिएर नथाकिने भारतले कठोर नाकाबन्दीको डण्डा बर्साएर आलो घाउमा नून–चूक छर्कने काम गरेको थियो । इतिहासको त्यो कठीन घडीमा अर्थात् भूकम्प गएको ५ महिना लगत्तै तथा भारतले नाकाबन्दी हटाएको केही महिनापछि करिब १० महिना नेपालको राजकीय सत्ता सम्हाल्न मौका पाएका नेकपा एमालेका अध्यक्ष केपी शर्मा ओलीले प्रधानमन्त्रीको हैसियतल चीनको भ्रमण गरेका थिए । त्यस भ्रमणमा उनले चीनसँग ‘व्यापार तथा पारवहन सन्धि’ गरेर नेपाललाई तेस्रो देश आयात-निर्यात गर्ने सामानका लागि चिनियाँ बन्दरगाह प्रयोग गर्ने बाटो खोलिदिएको थियो। भारतसँगको परनिर्भरतालाई विकल्प प्रदान गर्ने गरी गरिएको त्यस सन्धिमार्फत् प्रधानमन्त्री ओलीले नेपालमाथि भारतले लाद्दै आएको युगीन दबाब र ठूलो भाइको अहंकारलाई ध्वस्त पारिदिएका थिए । त्यसबेला उनले आँटका साथ गरेको उक्त सन्धिले ‘भारतीय सत्ताधारीहरुको पाउ नमोलिकन नेपालको राजकीय सत्तामा विराजमान हुनै सकिन्न’ भन्ने भाष्य र केही हदसम्मको तीतो यथार्थतालाई समेत तोड्दै उनले आफूलाई एक ‘कुशल राजनीतिज्ञ’ र ‘राष्ट्रवादी’को पंक्तिमा उभ्याउने काम गरेका थिए । उनमा निहीत कैयौं दुर्गुणहरुका बाबजूद उनको त्यो कर्मले उनलाई नरुचाउने तथा उनका कर्महरुसँग विमति राख्नेहरुले समेत पनि त्यसबेला उनले देखाएको साहस, कुटनीतिक दुरदर्शिताको प्रशंसा गरेका थिए ।
ओलीको त्यसबेलाको चीन भ्रमण यता बागमतीमा धेरै पानी बगिसकेको छ । र, पछिल्लो पटक उनले मुलुकको कार्यकारी प्रधानमन्त्रीको रुपमा चीनको औपचारिक भ्रमण गरेका छन् । यस भ्रमणमा प्रधामन्त्री ओलीले देखाएको निम्छरो र आलाकाँचा व्यवहारहरुले उनले अघिल्लो चीन भ्रमणमा कमाएका साख र इज्जतलाई धूलोपीठो पारिदिने काम भएको छ ।
नेपाली काङ्ग्रेससँगको गठबन्धनको ‘मक्किएको वैशाखी’को भरमा सत्तारुढ रहेका प्रधानमन्त्री ओलीले यस पटकको भ्रमणमा अघिल्लो पटकको भ्रमणमा जस्तै एउटा स्वतन्त्र र सार्वभौम राष्ट्रको कार्यकारी प्रमुखको हैसियतमा आफूलाई प्रस्तुत गर्नै सकेनन् । नेपालको सर्वाङ्गीण विकास र आर्थिक उन्नतिको लागि ‘गेम चेन्जर’ बन्न सक्ने महान सम्भावना बोकेको चीनबाट अघि सारिएको, सन् २०१७ मा नै बीआरआईको सहकार्यमा नेपाल र चीनबीच समझदारीपत्रमा हस्ताक्षर भई नेपालले सैद्धान्तिक सहमति जनाइसकेको तथा यस पटक त्यसबारे थप सम्झौता गर्नै पर्ने अवस्थामा रहेको बीआरआइ परियोजनाका सवालमा प्रधानमन्त्री ओली गठबन्धका मुख्य घटक नेपाली कांग्रेसले अघि सारेको विचार र दृष्टिकोणको माखेसाङ्लोमा नराम्ररी जकडिएको देखियो । चीन भ्रमणपूर्व नै बीआरआइबारे ‘नेपाली कांग्रेसको अडान’लाई प्रतिध्वनित गर्दै प्रधानमन्त्री ओलीले यस पटकको भ्रमणमा ‘ऋण सम्झौता’ हुनै नसक्ने ठोकुवा गरिदिए । बीआरआइ भनेको ‘ऋणको पासो‘ हो र ‘अनुदानमा दिए मात्र बीआरआइ परियोजनामा कुरा अघि बढ्ने’ भनी लामो समयदेखि फैलाइँदै आइएको हौवाले उनलाई पनि नराम्ररी रुमल्याएको देखियो । हुनुपर्ने र गरिनुपर्ने र भनिनुपर्ने चाहिँ ‘नेपालको हितका परियोजनाहरुका लागि वीआरआइ मार्फत् सहुलियत ऋण नै लिन आवश्यक परे पनि पछि नहट्ने’ हुनुपर्थ्यो । त्यस कुरामा उनी नराम्ररी चुकेको देखियो ।
यो पनि |
‘भीखमङ्गा सोच’भन्दा माथि उठ्न नसकेको नेपाली मनोवृत्ति र बीआरआईको गोलचक्कर ! |
अनेकन माथापच्ची, अनुदानमा चीनको असहमति, नेपालले अडान लिएको अनुदान अर्थात ‘ग्रान्ट फाइनान्सिङ कोअपरेशन मोडालिटी’लाई ‘एड’ अर्थात् ‘एड असिस्टेन्स फाइनान्सिङ मोडालिटी’ले विस्थापित गरेपछि बल्लतल्ल बीआरआइको फ्रेमवर्कका बारेमा चीनले सहमति जनायो । त्यही माथापच्चीले भ्रमणबारे दुई देशबीचको संयुक्त वक्तव्य जारी गरिसकेपछि मात्रै फ्रेमवर्क फर बेल्ट एन्ड रोड कोअपरेसनमा हस्ताक्षर गर्ने काम भयो ।
ऋण वा अनुदान: शब्दजालको घनचक्कर !
प्रधानमन्त्री ओलीको चीन भ्रमण– २०२४ को सबैभन्दा ठूलो उपलब्धि बीआरआइ फ्रेमवर्क सम्झौता हो– यो कुरामा कुनै शंका छैन । तर वीआरआइ कार्यान्वयनको विश्वव्यापी ढाँचा, त्यसका अभ्यास र बीआरआइबारे नेपालमा भइरहेका व्याख्या–अपव्याख्याहरुलाई हेर्दा यो सहजै कार्यान्वयनको चरणमा जाने छाँट देखिन्न ।
प्रधानमन्त्री ओलीको चीन भ्रमणपूर्व र भ्रमणपछि पनि भीषण चर्चा भइरहेको विषय– ऋण वा अनुदान नै भएको छ । कांग्रेस पार्टीको अभिमतलाई बोक्ने र समर्थन गर्नेहरुको बुझाइमा कहीँ कतै ऋण लिने कुरा उल्लेख नै छैन । तर विआरआइ कार्यान्वयनको विश्वव्यापी स्वरुप र अभ्यासलाई हेर्दा यसको मूल ढाँचा द्विपक्षीय लगानीमा ‘विन–विन’ अवधारणासहितको परियोजनाहरुको कार्यान्वयन हो । बीआरआइअन्तर्गत के कस्ता परियोजना बनाउने, त्यो वित्तीय रुपमा सम्भव र उपलब्धिमूलक रहन्छ रहन्न भन्ने कुराको छनौट गर्ने एकल निर्णय गर्ने अभिभारा नेपालकै हो । बीआरआइ फ्रेमवर्कमै प्रयुक्त ‘एड असिस्टेन्स फाइनान्सिङ’ को भाषाले बीआरआइको मोडालिटी पूर्णत: अनुदानमा आधारित रहनेछ भन्ने आधार कहीँ कतै देखिन्न । यो अनुदान वा ऋण दुवै हुन सक्ने आधार रहन्छ । कदाचित ऋण लगानी नै रह्यो भने पनि त्यसलाई अनुदानमा परिणत गर्ने कुरा नितान्त चीनको इच्छा र स्वविवेकमा भरपर्ने कुरा हो । विभिन्न सञ्चार माध्यमहरुमा चीन विज्ञ कहलिएकाहरु तथा स्वयं चीनका बुद्धिजीवीहरुको भनाइलाई विश्लेषण गर्दा पनि बीआरआइ परियोजना चन्दा वा अनुदानमा आधारित कार्यक्रम पटक्कै होइन । यस पृष्ठभूमिबाट विश्लेषण गरेर हेर्दा, अहिले बीआरआइको सवालमा चीनसँग ऋण नलिने तर अनुदान मात्रै लिने जुन अडान नेपालका सत्ताधारी दल, अझ विशेषत: मुख्य घटक नेपाली कांग्रेसबाट जबरजस्त अगाडि सारिएको छ, त्यसले नेपालमा बीआरआइको कार्यान्वयन कागजमा मात्रै सीमित रहने व्यवहारमा त्यो लागू हुन निक्कै कठीन देखिन्छ ।
बीआरआई सहकार्य फ्रेमवर्कमा परेका १० परियोजनाहरू १. टोखा–छहरे सुरुङमार्ग २. हिल्सा–सिमकोट सडक परियोजना ३. किमाथांका–खाँदबारी सडक र पुल ४. जिलोङ–केरुङ–काठमाडौं सीमापार रेलमार्ग ५. डडेलधुरास्थित अमरगढी सिटी हल ६. जिलोङ–केरुङ–रसुवागढी चिलिमे २२० केभी सीमापार प्रसारण लाइन ७. मदन भण्डारी विश्वविद्यालय ८. काठमाडौं साइन्टिफिक सेन्टर एन्ड साइन्स म्युजियम, ९. दमकस्थित चीन–नेपाल औद्योगिक मित्रपार्क १०. झापा स्पोर्ट्स एन्ड एथलेक्टिस कम्प्लेक्स |
Joint Statement between the People’s Republic of China and Nepal
As the year 2025 marks the 70th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and Nepal, the two sides comprehensively discussed the ways and means to make the celebration of the anniversary a momentous one. The two sides are ready to take this opportunity to further accelerate the implementation of the important common understandings reached by the leaders of the two countries, maintain high-level exchanges, strengthen political mutual trust, and deepen and expand mutually beneficial cooperation in various fields on the basis of the Five Principles of Peaceful Coexistence and the principle of good neighborliness and friendship, so as to further grow bilateral relations to the benefit of the two countries and peoples in the spirit of a community with a shared future.
The Nepali side reiterated that Xizang affairs are internal affairs of China, and that it will never allow any separatist activities against China on Nepal’s soil. The Chinese side reaffirmed its commitment to the principle of amity, sincerity, mutual benefit and inclusiveness and the policy of forging friendship and partnership in the neighborhood. China firmly supports Nepal in upholding its independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity, and respects and supports Nepal’s independent choice of political and social system, and development path that suit its national conditions.
The two sides agreed to strengthen the synergy of their development strategies, and pursue deeper and even more concrete high-quality Belt and Road cooperation. The two sides expressed their readiness to sign the MoU on building the Trans-Himalayan Multi-Dimensional Connectivity Network and the Framework for Belt and Road Cooperation between the two Governments as soon as possible. Both sides expressed their commitment to strengthening connectivity between the two countries in such areas as ports, roads, railways, aviation, power grids and telecommunication, to help Nepal transform from a land-locked country to a land-linked country. The two sides agreed to jointly advance the fourth phase of the China-aided Araniko Highway maintenance project and the Hilsa-Simikot Road project, implement the second phase of the Kathmandu Ring Road Improvement Project, and welcome the signing of the Letters of Exchange for the Approval of the China-aid Project of Feasibility Study for the Tokha-Chhahare Tunnel. While promoting the project of repairing the Syaphrubesi-Rasuwagadhi Highway, both sides agreed to expedite the removal of obstacles along the highway and its subsequent construction, and share the view that these projects will enhance the level of connectivity between the two countries. While recalling the commitment made by both sides during the state visit of H. E. President Mr. Xi Jinping to Nepal in 2019 and the official visit of Rt. Hon. Prime Minister Mr. K P Sharma Oli to China in 2018 to undertake study on the possiblity of cooperation for the development of three North-South Corridors in Nepal, namely Koshi Economic Corridor, Gandaki Economic Corridor and Karnali Economic Corridor, the two sides agreed to expedite the construction of related projects. The two sides agreed to strengthen development of port of entry, enhance facilitation for customs clearance and two-way travel, promote bilateral economic and trade cooperation, and boost social and economic development of border areas. The two sides applauded the smooth and orderly operation of the Jilong/Keyrung-Rasuwagadhi port, the Zhangmu-Kodari port, the Pulan-Yari port and the Lizi-Nechung (Korala, Mustang) port. They welcomed the full resumption and normal operation of 14 traditional China-Nepal border trade points in 2024 that have been pivotal in promoting bilateral trade and making the livelihood of border residents of both the countries easier. Based on this, the Nepali side requested the Chinese side to consider the possibility of opening more bilateral and international ports. The Chinese side will facilitate the construction of the China-aided Inland Clearance Depot (ICD) and Integrated Check Post (ICP) at Korala, Mustang. The two sides expressed willingness to steadily advance the feasibility study of the Jilong/Keyrung-Kathmandu Cross-Border Railway, and planned to hold the 9th Working Meeting on China-Nepal Railway Cooperation. The Chinese side will continue to help Nepal train professionals in the field of railway. The two sides value the development of civil aviation ties between China and Nepal, and support and encourage air transport enterprises of both sides to open air routes and flights between Chinese cities and Nepali cities such as Pokhara and Lumbini in light of market demand, so as to facilitate bilateral economic and trade ties and two-way travel. The two sides will continue to leverage the platform of the China-Nepal Energy Joint Implementation Mechanism, deepen cooperation in energy and explore exchanges in new energy. The two sides are ready to expedite the feasibility study of the China-aided Jilong/Keyrung-Rasuwagadhi-Chilime 220KV Cross-Border Power Transmission Line. The two sides agreed to continue to support the cooperation between telecommunication operators of the two countries and to carry out maintenance and expansion projects related to cross-border land cables. The Nepali side requested the Chinese side to expedite the works of further developing Madan Bhandari University of Science and Technology, and construct a sports stadium in Damak, Jhapa and Amargadhi City Hall Complex in Dadeldhura.
The two sides welcomed the signing of the MoU on Trade Promotion Cooperation, and will further strengthen trade exchanges to elevate the scale and level of two-way trade. The Chinese side reiterated its support for Chinese enterprises to invest and do business in Nepal based on market and commercial principles. Nepal reiterated its commitment to improving the business environment and providing support for Chinese enterprises to invest in Nepal. The two sides agreed to sign the Project Development Agreement of China-Nepal Friendship Industrial Park as soon as possible, in order to promote the early start of construction and operation of the industrial park. The Nepali side expressed its appreciation to China for granting Nepal, as one of the least developed countries, zero-tariff treatment under 100 percent tariff lines. China welcomes Nepal to further expand the export of high-quality agricultural products such as Nepali haylage, plant-derived medicinal materials, and tea to China. The two sides agreed to further deepen cooperation in agriculture, livestock and fisheries between the two countries. The two sides agreed to strengthen exchanges and cooperation in the fields of forestry, wildlife conservation and biodiversity protection, and convene the fifth meeting of the China-Nepal forestry working group at an appropriate time. The two sides agreed to continue strengthening health and medical cooperation, and accelerate the China-aided Bone Marrow Transplant Service project at the B. P. Koirala Memorial Cancer Hospital in Nepal. The two sides will fully harness the China-aided hospitals in Nepal and support the Chinese medical team in establishing a new medical service point in Civil Service Hospital, Kathmandu. The two sides agreed to study the establishment of a new CAR-T cell laboratory, with Chinese assistance, in Civil Service Hospital, Kathmandu for the treatment of cancer patients. The two sides agreed to renew the MoU on Traditional Medicine Cooperation, establish the China-Nepal Traditional Medicine Cooperation Commission, and continue to support the China-Nepal Traditional Chinese Medicine Center in providing free medical treatment, personnel training, and medical services in Nepal. The Nepali side expressed its appreciation to the Chinese side for providing emergency disaster relief when Nepal was hit by disaster caused by incessant, torrential rain. The Nepali side is ready to further strengthen cooperation with China in emergency management, and disaster prevention, mitigation and relief through the exchange of knowledge, information, technology and skills between the two countries. The Chinese side will continue to advance the project of technical assistance to the information platform of the National Emergency Operation Center in Nepal, and make full use of the China-aided Earthquake Monitoring Network Project. The two sides agreed to expedite the implementation of the post-earthquake reconstruction projects that had been agreed upon. The two sides are ready to further expand exchanges and cooperation with a focus on poverty alleviation, development, livelihood improvement and rural revitalization. China is ready to help Nepal to strengthen the capacity building of personnel in relevant fields, continue to carry out poverty reduction demonstration projects, and support Nepal in improving people’s livelihood.
The two sides share the view that law enforcement cooperation is an important component of bilateral cooperation, and are prepared to strengthen exchanges and cooperation between their law enforcement agencies. China is willing to provide support for Nepal to the best of its capacity through capacity building, including trainings in the field of combating cyber crimes, and assistance of police supplies.
China welcomes Nepal to hold promotional activities of the Nepal Visit Year 2025 in China, and will encourage more Chinese tourists to visit Nepal. Nepal will support the China Culture Center in holding various activities in Nepal, and welcomes China to hold signature events, such as China Festival and Happy Spring Festival, in Nepal. The two sides spoke positively of and will continue to support large cultural, sports and tourism activities in Nepal, such as the Kathmandu Chinese New Year Celebrations, the Pokhara International Mountain Cross Country Competition and China-Nepal Friendship Dragon-Boat Race Festival, and the Lumbini International Peace Festival. The two sides agreed to organize the Chinese Film Festival in Nepal in 2025. Both sides encourage and support sports departments and organizations of the two countries to bolster contact and conduct friendly exchanges. The two sides will continue to harness the China Culture Center, Confucius Institutes and Confucius Classrooms in Nepal to promote China-Nepal cultural exchanges and cooperation, and support Chinese language education in Nepal. China welcomes and encourages more outstanding Nepali students to study in China.
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